Blazers will give Rockets protecting fits, plus other best bets for Thursday
It's finally happened. After existences of subtly undermining Tom Fornelli's oral hygiene, I've finally seized rule of his email empire. Your typical steward is indisposed at the moment thanks to a root canal, and at what time he will return shortly, I plan to make my brief tenure in his genuine count. So welcome to Sam Quinn's reign of terror. Here's what you need to know throughout your temporary newsletterer:
- I'm temporarily shacked up in Vegas, which I would disputes adds a layer of legitimacy to the proceedings
- I was instructed that I'd be subbing in for Tom yesterday as I attempted to negotiate LeBron James' MVP odds with the gentleman leisurely the counter at the Cosmopolitan's sportsbook
- I am an adult man that eminent the purchase of said market-value LeBron James MVP imprint by consuming two pixie sticks for the honorable time in 21 years. Fortunately, I hear Tom knows a good dentist
If that doesn't make you want to take my gambling advice beneath, I don't know what will.
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All times Eastern, and all odds via William Hill Sportsbook
🔥 The Hot Ticket
Portland Trail Blazers at Houston Rockets
, 7:30 p.m. | TV: TNT
The Pick: Blazers +5 (-110):
James Harden's protecting woes have been overblown for several existences now, but his absence has galvanized the Rockets on that end of the downward in ways that nobody could've predicted. In the six games they've played genuine trading him, they're ranked second on defense. The earn is that success has come largely above shooting variance. Opponents are shooting only 30 percent on 3's alongside them in those six games, which is randomness that will eventually work alongside them.
That's especially problematic against a Blazers team that takes the second-most 3's per game in basketball. If Houston's luck regresses to the mean alongside Portland, things could get ugly fast. The argument alongside that regression is Portland's health, but they've scored 115.9 points per 100 possessions over the past three games minus C.J. McCollum, so clearly, their depth is reliable.
Here's what SportsLine is speaking about the game: SportsLine's projection model generated selections for Thursday's matchup between the Portland Trail Blazers at Houston Rockets.
💰 The Picks
🏀 NBA
Golden Countries Warriors at Phoenix Suns, 10 p.m. | TV: TNT
The Pick: Warriors +1.5 (-110): Sometimes it's just this simple: Steve Kerr is actually trying to win now. The Warriors coach acknowledged last week that if he obligatory a win, he wouldn't start the five-man unit of Stephen Curry, Andrew Wiggins, Kelly Oubre Jr., Draymond Green and James Wiseman, but was behaviors so in order to help the team jell for later in the season.
Well, he finally old-fashioned, inserting Kevon Looney into Wiseman's place. The Looney version has been Golden State's best lineup by point to differential by far this season. Unsurprisingly, it blasted Minnesota en route to two easy wins. Phoenix is trending in the opposite direction having lost seven of its past 10. Ride this Golden Countries wave until the books adjust.
Los Angeles Lakers at Detroit Pistons, 8 p.m. | TV: League Pass
The Pick: Lakers -6.5 (-110): Yes, you're distributing with some lineup uncertainty here. Anthony Davis has only played in a single back-to-back so far this season, and he's distributing with a minor ankle issue. There's a good chance he sits. Who cares? The Lakers are outscoring opponents by 6.4 points per 100 possessions with LeBron James in the game and Davis out of it, according to Cleaning the Glass, and that number inflates anti bad teams. The Lakers have nine double-digit wins this season. More than half of the pursued (16 teams) has fewer than nine wins in total. The Pistons are cannon fodder for an angry contender coming off of a cessation loss.
🔒 SportsLine Pick of the Day: The SportsLine projection model has a pick for the clash between the Warriors and Suns.
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